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The flattening the curve policy was implemented by introducing new restrictions only gradually and slowly,...

Conclusion
The flattening the curve policy was implemented by introducing new restrictions only gradually and slowly, acting as if the spread of the virus were susceptible to calibrated control. Modelling at the time suggested that to suppress the spread of covid-19 too firmly would cause a resurgence when restrictions were lifted. This was thought likely to result in a peak in the autumn and winter when NHS pressures were already likely to be severe. In addition, it was thought that the public would only comply with severe restrictions for a limited period, and so those restrictions should not be applied before they were most needed. This approach should have been questioned at the time for a number of reasons: 240 Oral evidence taken before the Foreign Affairs Select Committee on 22 June 2021, HC (2021–22) 200, Q134 241 OECD, Obesity Update, 2017 242 GOV.UK, Disparities in the risk and outcomes of COVID-19, August 2020 58 Coronavirus: lessons learned to date • it entailed people contracting covid in large numbers with hundreds of thousands of deaths likely to result; • other countries, in Asia and in Europe, including some with experience of SARS and MERS, had chosen to implement earlier, more comprehensive strategies of non-pharmaceutical interventions, which were having success; and • suppressing the spread of the virus in the early period would have bought valuable time to consider what was the best way to manage the pandemic in the medium term.
Government Response
Acknowledged
HM Government Acknowledged
Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been a key element of the government’s response to COVID-19. At the outbreak of the pandemic, the government carefully monitored the data, and our decision-making has always been informed by science and evidence. We took quick and decisive action when we needed to.
Addressee Bodies
Department for Science, Innovation and Technology
Timeline
Recommendation age 4.6 yrs
Report published 12 Oct 2021