These factors point to the Scheme’s underperformance on jobs; the Department initially anticipated the scheme would support up to 82,500 jobs over 6 months, however, it now forecasts that it will support only 5,600 jobs over 12 months.40 The Department’s estimates are based on economic modelling that calculates the likely number of jobs based on the amount spent, rather than on concrete evidence of the actual number of jobs supported, and would not take into account the negative effects that businesses reported from the Scheme’s difficulties and subsequent closure.