There appears to be insufficient funding for DHSC to build all the hospitals it plans, and to an adequate size, by 2030. HM Treasury initially allocated £3.7 billion to NHP for the period up to the end of 2024–25 with no indication of what further money it would give up to 2030. In early 2023, it finally set an indicative maximum for capital funding of £18.5 billion for the following six years, making a total of £22.2 billion. Funding is needed for the schemes to be completed by 2030, as well as for early works on the eight schemes that will now complete after 2030. Long experience suggests that many schemes in NHP will come in over budget. Schemes in NHP’s cohorts 1 and 2 have already seen forecast costs increase by 41%. Getting the standard design of future hospitals right may also have the effect of increasing estimated costs. Other factors such as high inflation, insufficient capacity in the construction industry, and the need for many more factories to manufacture modular units offsite could drive up costs further. Recommendation 6: DHSC should be realistic about the likely cost of schemes and what can be afforded by 2030. As well as addressing the shortcomings in its Minimum Viable Product version of Hospital 2.0, it should engage further with the construction industry to understand and manage likely capacity constraints. It and HM Treasury should agree explicitly and in writing whether the pre-2030 costs of eight delayed cohort 4 schemes are to be met from the current agreed funding envelope. 8 The New Hospital Programme