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Our Future Probation Service' programme raises public safety concerns regarding reduced supervision.

Recommendation
Written evidence from the Prison Reform Trust raised concerns over potential risks to public safety from some of the proposed changes . In particular, they were concerned that reducing rehabilitative activity for lower-risk individuals, while necessary and pragmatic in the short term, could undermine long-term public safety and perpetuate cycles of reoffending.37 Given the pace and nature of the planned changes, we asked MoJ whether the programme poses a risk to public protection. MoJ told us that public safety is its “absolute top concern”. It stressed that it wants to ensure people have the right level of supervision and that the planned changes will enable practitioners to focus on high-risk individuals. HMPPS also told us that it has a new public protection strategy and taskforce, and 33 Qq 11, 34 34 Qq 37, 42, 50, 60, 62, 63; C&AG’s Report, para 3.9 35 Qq 39, 56, 60–61, 64, 67; C&AG’s report, para 15 and Figure 14 36 Qq 48–50; C&AG’s Report, para 3.14 37 RPS0004; RPS0006 14 that it plans to refine its performance metrics to focus on a core number of protection measures that matter most. HMPPS did, however, note that risk can never be eliminated from the service.38
Government Response

A response document is linked to this report, dated 7 April 2026. Response attribution to this conclusion has not been verified. Read the response document.

Addressee Bodies
HM Treasury
Timeline
Recommendation age 0.6 yr
Report published 04 Feb 2026